Prediction of the Bulking Phenomenon in Wastewater Treatment Plants

Belanche, Ll., Vald\'es, J.J., Comas, J., Roda, I., Poch, M.

Abstract

The control and prediction of Wastewater Treatment Plants poses an important goal: to avoid breaking the environmental balance by always keeping the system in stable operating conditions. It is known that qualitative information ---coming from microscopic examinations and subjective remarks--- has a deep influence on the activated sludge process. In particular, on the total amount of effluent suspended solids, one of the measures of overall plant performance. The search for an input-output model of this variable and the prediction of sudden increases (bulking episodes) is thus a central concern to ensure the fulfillment of current discharge limitations. Unfortunately, the strong interrelation between variables, their heterogeneity, and the very high amount of missing information make the use of traditional techniques difficult, or even impossible. Through the combined use of several methods ---rough set theory and artificial neural networks, mainly--- reasonable prediction models are found, which serve also to show the different importance of variables and give insight to the process dynamics.